Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.727206 2.094530 2.492884 2.953789 3.469190 4.024751 4.665812
2025-01-26 1.164907 1.642012 2.209023 2.918258 3.767584 4.738776 5.919889
2025-02-02 0.815734 1.338876 2.017944 2.928532 4.083251 5.466796 7.217481
2025-02-09 0.538789 1.049028 1.776610 2.821677 4.219537 5.965385 8.250743
2025-02-16 0.353677 0.830143 1.578832 2.727389 4.339707 6.427266 9.238913
2025-02-23 0.244741 0.693748 1.467439 2.725444 4.564573 7.016347 10.393581
2025-03-02 0.158496 0.562100 1.332515 2.662841 4.687197 7.462231 11.365737
2025-03-09 0.121070 0.514941 1.327508 2.792019 5.082515 8.281286 12.842948
2025-03-16 0.080345 0.437321 1.249799 2.790821 5.278201 8.825262 13.960902
2025-03-23 0.063593 0.415971 1.274539 2.958491 5.731686 9.738212 15.593489
2025-03-30 0.046713 0.382566 1.267125 3.066681 6.094207 10.528267 17.071309
2025-04-06 0.030695 0.337290 1.223792 3.103957 6.342716 11.157090 18.335600
2025-04-13 0.016251 0.278520 1.137491 3.056852 6.459230 11.606905 19.376679
2025-04-20 0.009638 0.248973 1.114746 3.126543 6.767830 12.346813 20.840416
2025-04-27 0.005216 0.221873 1.090990 3.190201 7.066608 13.077172 22.302099
2025-05-04 0.001490 0.175657 0.998225 3.102388 7.101466 13.407666 23.196193
2025-05-11 0.000187 0.137025 0.911544 3.014037 7.126215 13.718299 24.062416
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.114979 0.870282 3.017943 7.310409 14.275936 25.293538
2025-05-25 NaN 0.089546 0.803228 2.953736 7.366068 14.630809 26.230157
2025-06-01 NaN 0.085686 0.822716 3.093690 7.799270 15.588634 28.068688
2025-06-08 NaN 0.070723 0.785767 3.093119 7.970418 16.131679 29.298024
2025-06-15 NaN 0.070809 0.820907 3.273124 8.485398 17.233101 31.372161
2025-06-22 NaN 0.066200 0.830516 3.389111 8.881876 18.149391 33.179067